Despite cost of living pressures and moderation trends, the US On-Premise remains a primary engine of brand discovery, premium trading, exploration and trial.
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Bars and restaurants generate roughly half of total bev-alc dollars in the US and are where trial converts into Off-Premise purchase pull. Forward indicators point to resilient visitation in 2026, even as consumers demand value and quality in the same glass.
Looking ahead in 2026, On-Premise visitation intentions remain positive, with around one in five consumers planning to visit more often than last year. This growth is being driven primarily by younger audiences, with Gen Z and millennials significantly more likely than average to increase their visits, highlighting continued demand for social, out-of-home experiences.
Food-led venues continue to outperform drink-led formats, with strong appeal across food-led venues. These venues align well with consumers’ motivations to socialize and treat themselves. However, drink-led venues maintain higher engagement among younger consumers, creating clear opportunities for brands that tailor experiences and propositions to distinct audience needs.
So, what are the big trends expected in the On-Premise in 2026?
1. Mini cocktails & flights go mainstream (and strategic)
“Tiny” serves, mini Martinis, small-format Negronis, half-pours, and curated flight formats are scaling from niche to menu feature. For guests, they deliver trial, temperature (a Martini that stays cold), affordability, and moderation; for operators, they enable premium ingredients at accessible checks and increase variety per occasion.
Health-led moderation, GLP1 adoption, and a “less but better” mindset keep demand high and guests want to taste more styles without overcommitting to ABV or price.
2. Riffs on the classics keep the cocktail cannon fresh
We can expect continued proliferation of twists on classic cocktails; think PB Espresso Martinis, tequila-based Espresso Martinis, savory/umami takes, and spice-led profiles. Category reports and bar trend trackers highlight bold flavors, high-skill techniques, and reimagined classics as staples in 2026.
3. “Instagrammability” ≠ gimmick: Visual quality is the new table stakes
Guests (especially younger LDA) continue to reward high-aesthetic serves such as clean glassware, premium ice, color gradients, and precise garnishes, because they telegraph quality and create social content. Trade trend roundups for 2025 emphasize elevated presentation, minimalism with premium materials, and culinary craftsmanship.
4. Non-alc keeps proliferating, now with “functional” adjacent
Non-alcohol beer, wine, spirits, and RTDs continue to grow alongside their alcoholic counterparts, with growth opportunities throughout 2026 and beyond not slowing. Functional alcohol-adjacent beverages (adaptogens, nootropics, hemp/THC where legal) are rising in parallel but serve different consumer need states and motivations such as healthful moderation vs. functional effects. 1 in 7 consumers have consumed the category when out in the On-Premise in the past 6 months and there is good appetite for a range of functional beverages brands when out.
Non-alcoholic (NA) options are expected on menus; NA cocktails are integrated alongside full strength builds in many venues to appeal to these consumers requiring alternatives.
5. Fewer SKUs on the back bar: Consolidate to the poles
Across CPG and beverage alcohol, alcohol SKU rationalization has accelerated since 2024 as suppliers and retailers simplify assortments to protect margins and reduce complexity. The On-Premise is following suit: venues are trimming slow-movers and doubling down on brands that turn, while still reserving space for truly local/new discoveries. The squeeze lands on the “middle” brands. We can expect similar curation behaviors behind the bar for spirits and wine in 2026.
6. Craft beer: portfolios slim, draft and imports hold
Craft has entered a period of rationalization, label introductions down, closures outpacing openings, and breweries prioritizing focus over proliferation. Meanwhile, non-alc beer posts outsized On-Premise growth off a small base, while imports and draft formats show resilience.
7. The rise of private venues: members clubs & airport lounges
Private social clubs and airport lounges have become high-growth, high-margin On-Premise settings where premium cocktails, NA options, and curated experiences travel well. Suppliers are leaning into bespoke menus and exclusive packs to win these controlled environments that punch above their weight in trial and influencer reach.
8. Gin’s image refresh
Global gin growth has cooled from boom levels, and some mature markets softened. But the US still has headroom versus Europe, and certain premium brands are growing; classic gin cocktails (G&T, Negroni, Martini) continue to headline menus and social culture. 2026 can expect targeted repositioning (culinary botanicals, lower-calorie messaging, minimalist martini service) to resonate with younger legal-age drinkers in 2026. Positioning calorie messaging to resonate with younger legal age drinkers in 2026.

“What we’re seeing going into 2026 is clear momentum in the On-Premise—particularly among younger consumers who are driving visitation, trial and premiumization. Venues that align their offer to food-led occasions, quality experiences and flexible moderation will be best placed to win both today’s visits and tomorrow’s loyalty.”
Matthew Crompton
NIQ’s VP Americas – On-Premise
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