Modest May for hospitality groups as consumers keep lid on spending
Press Releases

Modest May for hospitality groups as consumers keep lid on spending

Press Releases
Modest May for hospitality groups as consumers keep lid on spending


Hospitality Business Tracker May 2026

  • Sales growth falls behind inflation for 13th straight month   
  • Sunny Bank Holiday weekend moves pub groups up 1.1%
  • Restaurants grow 0.5% but bars drop 6.1% 

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Britain’s leading hospitality groups grew their like-for-like sales by 0.4% in May, according to the latest NIQ RSM Hospitality Business Tracker

It marks just the second month of growth for the sector in 2026, reflecting an ongoing squeeze on consumers’ disposable incomes amid rising costs. Groups’ year-on-year growth has now been below the UK’s rate of inflation, as measured by the Consumer Prices Index, for 13 consecutive months.  

The Tracker, which is produced by NIQ, powered by CGA intelligence, in association with RSM, shows pubs were the best performing hospitality channel in May. A burst of warm weather over the late Bank Holiday weekend towards the end of the month brought consumers out to beer gardens and terraces, and helped pub groups to finish the month with sales 1.1% ahead of May 2025. 


Growth for managed restaurants was slower at 0.5%. It represents a fifth positive month out of six for the restaurant sector after a very challenging 2025, though operators continue to face inflation in many key costs as well as a tightening of spending on eating out. Meanwhile year-on-year sales in the bar sector slipped by 6.1%—the worst figure since early 2025. 

Despite the challenges, some hospitality groups continue to open new sites, the NIQ RSM Hospitality Business Tracker shows. On a total sales basis—including at venues opened in the last 12 months—sales rose by 3.9% in May—slightly ahead of the recent rate of inflation.  

The Tracker also highlights a better May for operators in London, which enjoyed the country’s best weather over the Bank Holiday weekend. Groups’ like-for-like sales rose by 3.0% within the M25 but fell by 0.6% beyond the M25. 


Karl Chessell, director – hospitality operators and food, EMEA at NIQ, said:

“Hospitality like-for-like sales have been frustratingly short of inflation for many months now, and it’s clear that any recent growth is being driven by higher prices or new openings rather than extra volume. Millions of consumers are very cautious about their spending, and bars in particular are being heavily impacted by tighter budgets and changing leisure habits. The football World Cup brings a great opportunity for pubs to boost footfall in June and July, and reports of more staycations should also work to the advantage of all operators. Nevertheless, hospitality remains under severe strain.” 


Saxon Moseley, head of leisure and hospitality at RSM UK, said:

“May’s figures continue an unwelcome 13-month run of below-inflation growth, confirming that the sector remains stuck in stagnation. While London outperformed the rest of the UK for the second consecutive month, buoyed by a heatwave that kept pub tills ringing, the picture elsewhere is worrying. Strip out the capital’s figures, and the rest of the country reported negative like-for-like growth. This is a real concern for regional operators and a stark reminder that consumer spending remains incredibly uneven. All will be hoping the World Cup stimulates demand across the UK and gives the industry a much-needed boost ahead of the critical summer holidays.”


NIQ collected sales figures directly from 118 leading managed groups for March’s edition of the NIQ RSM Hospitality Business Tracker, which provides authoritative monthly insights into Britain’s restaurant, pub and bar sales. Companies participating in the Tracker receive a fuller breakdown of trading that helps to benchmark performance and understand market trends.

To join the cohort, contact Andrew Dean at  andy.dean@nielseniq.com 

Participants in the NIQ RSM Hospitality Business Tracker: Adventure Leisure Ltd, Amber Taverns, Anglian Country Inns, Arc Inspirations, Azzurri Group (Ask Italian, Coco di Mama, Zizzi), B Bagel, Barburrito, Barworks, Beds and Bars, Big Fang Collective, Big Table Group (Banana Tree Restaurants, Bella Italia, Chiquito, Frankie & Benny’s, Las Iguanas), Bill’s Restaurants, Bleecker St Burger, Boisdale Ltd, Boom Battle Bar, Boston Tea Party, Boxpark, BrewDog, Burger & Lobster, Buzzworks Holdings Group, Byron, Chance and Counters, Coaching Inn Group Ltd, Comptoir Group Plc, Cote Restaurants, Creams Café, Darwin & Wallace, Dishoom, Evolv Collection, Five Guys, Flat Iron, Fortnum & Mason, Fuller Smith & Turner, Gaucho Grill, Giggling Squid, Glendola Leisure, Gordon Ramsay Restaurants, Greene King (Chef & Brewer, Hungry Horse, Flaming Grill), Hall & Woodhouse, Hawthorn Leisure, Heartwood Collection, Honest Burgers, HOP Vietnamese, Kibou, Kricket, Laine Pub Co, Lane 7, Liberation, Lina Stores, Loungers, Lucky Voice, Marston’s, McMullen & Sons Ltd, Megans, Mildreds, Mission Mars, Mitchells & Butlers (Harvester, Toby, Miller & Carter, All Bar One), MJMK Restaurants, Mojo Bar, Mowgli, Nando’s Restaurants, Neos Hospitality, New World Trading Company, Nightcap Plc, NQ64 Arcade Bars , Open House London, Parogon Pub Group, Pho, Pizza Express, Pizza Hut UK, Popeyes, Portobello Starboard Ltd, Prezzo, Public House Group, Punch Pub Co, Rick Stein Restaurants, Riley’s, Rosa’s Thai, Roxy Leisure, San Carlo, Sandbox VR, Shepherd Neame, Signature Pubs, Simmons Bars Group, Southern Wind Group (Fazenda), St Austell, Star Pubs & Bars, State of Play Hospitality, Stonegate Pub Co (Slug & Lettuce, Yates’, Walkabout, Bermondsey Pub Company), Tasty Plc, TGI Fridays UK, The Alchemist, The Fulham Shore, The Restaurant Group, Thunderbird Fried Chicken, Tonkotsu, Topgolf Ltd, Tortilla, Tossed, Treetop Golf, True North Brew Co, Upham Pub Co, Urban Pubs & Bars, Urban Village Pub Co, Various Eateries (Strada, Coppa Club), Village Hotels, Wagamama, Wasabi, Wells & Co, Whitbread (Beefeater, Brewers Fayre, Table Table), Wingstop, Yard Sale Pizza, Yolk, YO! Sushi, Young’s and Yummy Collection.


About RSM UK

RSM UK is a leading provider of audit, tax and consulting services. As an integrated team with nearly 4,900 partners and staff operating from 31 locations across the UK, we have a culture of understanding what it means to deliver value, and to value what we do. 

As part of the RSM International network, we have access to more than 57,000 people in more than 120 countries. Our global presence helps us to meet the needs of clients who are trading and expanding internationally. 

To learn more, visit www.rsmuk.com. 


About NIQ

NielsenIQ (NYSE: NIQ) is a leading consumer intelligence company, delivering the most complete and trusted understanding of consumer buying behavior and revealing new pathways to growth. By combining an unmatched global data footprint and granular consumer and retail measurement with decades of AI modeling expertise, NIQ builds decision systems that help companies turn complex data into confident action.

With operations in more than 90 countries, NIQ covers approximately 82% of the world’s population and more than $7.4 trillion in global consumer spend. Through cloud-based platforms, advanced analytics and AI-driven insights, NIQ delivers The Full View™—helping brands and retailers understand what consumers buy, why they buy it, and what to do next.

For more information, please visit www.niq.com.


Forward Looking Statement

This press release regarding sales trends for Britain’s eating and drinking out market may contain forward-looking statements regarding anticipated consumer behaviors, market trends, and industry developments. These statements reflect current expectations and projections based on available data, historical patterns, and various assumptions. Words such as “expects,” “anticipates,” “likely,” “may,” “poised to,”,” and similar expressions are intended to identify such forward-looking statements. These statements are not guarantees of future outcomes and are subject to inherent uncertainties, including changes in consumer preferences, economic conditions, technological advancements, and competitive dynamics. Actual results may differ materially from those expressed or implied in these statements. While we strive to base our insights on reliable data and sound methodologies, we undertake no obligation to update any forward-looking statements to reflect future events or circumstances, except to the extent required by applicable law.  

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