Analysis

Back to School 2025: Consumer Shifts Brands and Retailers Can’t Ignore

Analysis
Back to School 2025: Consumer Shifts Brands and Retailers Can’t Ignore

  • As summer fades and the school bells approach, back-to-school season is once again shaping up to be one of the most significant retail moments of the year.
  • But in 2025, this is no longer a simple, checklist-driven shopping trip for notebooks and backpacks.
  • Read on to learn more about this highly dynamic, multi-category experience where tradition, technology, and personalization converge.
  • Inside, view our Back-to-School guide that reveals which retailers are winning, how much consumers are spending, and the categories that are thriving this season.

Back-to-School Spending

According to our latest survey, the average household is expected to spend around $365 this year, with Gen X households leading the pack at nearly $450 (excluding apparel). But these shoppers aren’t just spending more. They’re giving us a clearer view into their shopping behavior, from where and when they buy, to what drives their decisions.

For brands and retailers looking to win this season, understanding these behaviors and aligning strategies accordingly will be key.

57%


Walmart Commands, But Amazon Follows Closely

While it’s easy to assume digital retail would dominate 2025, Walmart is expected to be the primary destination for back-to-school shopping. Nearly 8-in-10 consumers report plans to shop there this season, edging out even Amazon, which sits at 72%. Target follows in third place at 54%.

8-in-10

What’s particularly interesting is that high-income shoppers aren’t abandoning Walmart; they’re embracing it. These households, typically associated with premium e-commerce platforms, are turning to Walmart for value, convenience, and breadth of selection. That shift presents a powerful opportunity for Brands: tailor promotions and packaging strategies to Walmart’s unique footprint and consider cross-category bundling to boost basket size and brand affinity.

Amazon, meanwhile, remains a discovery engine. Consumers often use it to compare brands, read reviews, and fill in remaining items after a larger in-store haul. For brands, this means you need to be optimized for both platforms; visually compelling on a Walmart shelf and algorithmically strong on Amazon’s search results page


The Calendar Is Compressed and Predictable

One of the few constants in back-to-school shopping is its compressed timeline. Regardless of age, gender, or income, a full 72% of shoppers plan to make purchases within the two months leading up to the first day of school. In fact, most plan to complete the bulk of their shopping either 1–2 months out or in the final 2–4 weeks. Fewer than 5% of families leave it to the last minute.

What does that mean for brands?

Timing is everything. Brands need to think early and act fast. Campaigns should be live by mid-July, peaking in August and tapering off after Labor Day. Digital media, influencer activations, retail partnerships, and promotions must be tightly choreographed to match this window. Miss it, and you miss the moment entirely.


Tech and Self-Care Are Rising Stars

The rise of technology in education is not new, but it’s more central than ever in 2025. Half of all shoppers plan to buy tech products as part of their back-to-school haul. Headphones/earbuds, tablets, and laptops dominate shopping lists with Apple remaining the preferred brand, followed by HP, Dell, Google, and Samsung.

50%

AI-enabled devices are gaining traction, too. Parents and students alike are starting to view AI as a tool for personalized learning, not just entertainment. That shift opens up new messaging opportunities for brands that play in adjacent categories like tech accessories, productivity products, and energy drinks, to name a few.

Equally notable is the continued rise of self-care as part of the back-to-school routine. Nearly 50% of shoppers plan to purchase personal care items, and fragrances have emerged as a standout category. Among preferred brands are Bath & Body Works and Calvin Klein, but there’s also a surge in interest for skincare and cosmetics brands like CeraVe, Cetaphil, Neutrogena, e.l.f., Maybelline, and L’Oréal.

But these aren’t just products. They’re signals of identity and self-expression. For older students, especially, back-to-school has become a moment of reinvention. For brands, the challenge is to position your brand as part of that emotional transformation. Can your product help a high schooler feel more confident on the first day? Can it show up in a TikTok “get ready with me” video or in a college student’s dorm tour?


Measurement and Strategy: Are You Ready for the Aisle and the Algorithm?

The path to purchase is more fragmented than ever. Shoppers move fluidly between physical stores, digital storefronts, influencer channels, and social feeds. They’re browsing in one place, researching in another, and making final decisions based on a blend of school supply lists, peer recommendations, and personal style. For brands and retailers, this complexity is both a challenge and an opportunity.

Success in this environment demands omnichannel precision. Your brand should be positioned not just for store shelves, but for algorithmic relevance across e-commerce and social platforms. You need to understand how your target audience shops, not just demographically, but behaviorally. Are they driven by discounts? Reviews? Brand ethics? Influencer credibility?


Brought to you by NIQ thought leaders:

Jacqueline Flam – NIQ

Managing Director, Beauty & Health

Nim Sharon – NIQ

VP, Consumer Technology

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Let’s talk about how your brand can show up where, and when, it matters before your next big retail moment.

Source: BASES 2025 Back-to-School Consumer Study